Election Derivatives: What will Trump's Manifold odds be the day before the election?
69
4.5kṀ25kresolved Nov 5
100%94%
49-50.9%
0.2%
<30%
0.1%
30-34.9%
0.2%
35-39.9%
0.3%
40-44.9%
1.7%
45-48.9%
1.7%
51-54.9%
0.8%
55-59.9%
0.2%
60-64.9%
0.2%
65-69.9%
0.2%
>70%
This derivatives market will be evaluated by the average price of the Donald Trump yes over the 24 hours from 12:00am to 11:59pm on November 4, 2024, eastern time, of the 2024 US Presidential Election candidate market on Manifold created by @Jack.
If that market is removed or otherwise broken, an equivalent market at the top of the US Politics page will be used, or another market I announce.
Daily average is used to increase the cost of market manipulation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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