
X (formerly Twitter) has been banned in Brazil and the bill that performs the ban states that people who use VPNs or other means to access X while it remains banned will be fined a value of R$ 50.000,00 per day (roughly 8.900 USD).
This value corresponds to about 16 months of the average Brazilian salary and has been criticized for being excessive.
This market seeks to predict how many people will be effectively fined.
This market will resolve to the number of people who can be determined to have been served a notice of fine which is explicitly stated to be due to illegal access to X in the year 2024. The fines do not need to be paid by the people - proof that a Brazilian court has emitted a notice of fine is sufficient.
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@FranklinBaldo Can you provide a short summary of the evidence for your position? I'm unaware of the details on this topic.
@Eliza my position is there is no evidence of anyone being actually being fined. Here is a perplexity summary about this
how many people were fined in 2024 in Brazil for using VPN after Alexandre de Moraes determined to such fines
As of now, there is no specific data available regarding the exact number of individuals fined in Brazil for using VPNs to access the social media platform X (formerly Twitter) following the ruling by Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes. The fines were established on August 30, 2024, with a penalty of R$ 50,000 (approximately $9,000) per day for those who circumvented the suspension of X by using VPNs[1][3].
The enforcement of these fines has raised significant concerns among legal experts and technology analysts regarding their practicality. Given that Brazil has over 20 million users of X, tracking and penalizing all users who employ VPNs is considered nearly impossible. Experts have suggested that any enforcement would likely focus on specific targets already under investigation rather than a broad application against all users[4][6].
Additionally, the Brazilian Bar Association has raised legal challenges against the fines, arguing that they create offenses not defined in Brazilian law and impose excessive penalties for simply accessing a social network[4][5].
In summary, while the fines are in place and enforcement is ongoing, there is currently no public record of how many individuals have actually been fined for using VPNs in this context.
Citações:
[1] Brazil Enforces Fines for VPN Use to Access Elon Musk's Platform X https://circleid.com/posts/20240912-brazil-enforces-fines-for-vpn-use-to-access-platform-x
[2] ISOC Brazil's Statement on the X Suspension Decision https://www.isoc.org.br/noticia/isoc-brazil-s-statement-on-the-x-suspension-decision
[3] Em decisão que bloqueou o X no Brasil, Moraes também proibiu o ... https://g1.globo.com/politica/noticia/2024/08/30/em-decisao-que-bloqueou-o-x-no-brasil-moraes-tambem-proibiu-o-acesso-a-rede-social-por-vpn.ghtml
[4] Difficulty of tracking VPN tends to restrict fines for those who access X https://btlaw.com.br/en/2024/09/06/dificuldade-de-rastrear-vpn-tende-a-restringir-multas-a-quem-acessa-o-x/
[5] Alexandre volta atrás sobre exclusão de VPNs, mas mantém multa https://www.conjur.com.br/2024-ago-30/alexandre-volta-atras-sobre-exclusao-de-vpns-mas-mantem-multa/
[6] Ban on VPNs to access X confirms Brazil's judicial mess https://www.gazetadopovo.com.br/opiniao/editoriais/ban-on-vpns-to-access-x-confirms-brazils-judicial-mess/
[7] Moraes veta VPN para usar X e impõe multa de R$ 50 mil - BBC https://www.bbc.com/portuguese/articles/cvgr32l5ezqo
[8] Supreme Court Justice Moraes fines X almost US$1 million per https://www.brasildefato.com.br/2024/09/20/supreme-court-justice-moraes-fines-x-almost-us-1-million-per-day-for-circumventing-suspension-in-brazil
[9] X sai do ar e Moraes revoga multa por VPN e suspensão ... - Migalhas https://www.migalhas.com.br/quentes/414361/x-sai-do-ar-e-moraes-revoga-multa-por-vpn-e-suspensao-de-downloads
[10] Brazil Blocks X After Musk Ignores Court Orders - The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/30/world/americas/brazil-elon-musk-x-blocked.html
[11] Fact Check: Brazilians can be fined for using VPN to access X https://www.reuters.com/fact-check/brazilians-can-be-fined-using-vpn-access-x-2024-09-06/
[12] Moraes revê decisão e volta a permitir uso de VPN no país https://www.correiobraziliense.com.br/politica/2024/08/6931810-moraes-reve-decisao-e-volta-a-permitir-uso-de-vpn-no-pais.html
[13] STF determina suspensão do X, antigo Twitter, em todo o território https://noticias.stf.jus.br/postsnoticias/stf-determina-suspensao-do-x-antigo-twitter-em-todo-o-territorio-nacional-2/
[14] O que é VPN, que teve uso proibido por Moraes para acesso ao X https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/tecnologia/o-que-e-vpn-que-teve-uso-proibido-por-moraes-para-a-acesso-ao-x/
[15] Brazil Supreme Court fines X over noncompliance with suspension ... https://www.jurist.org/news/2024/09/brazil-supreme-court-fines-x-over-noncompliance-with-suspension-order/
[16] STF confirma decisão que suspendeu o X, antigo Twitter https://noticias.stf.jus.br/postsnoticias/stf-confirma-decisao-que-suspendeu-o-x-antigo-twitter-em-todo-o-pais/
[17] Parlamentares apresentam PLs que regulamentam uso de VPN no ... https://teletime.com.br/09/09/2024/parlamentares-apresentam-pls-que-regulamentam-uso-de-vpn-no-brasil/
[18] Musk's X to face $900,000 daily fine in Brazil as top court orders it to ... https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20240919-elon-musk-bypasses-court-ordered-ban-in-brazil-through-software-update
@FranklinBaldo @coproduct Resolving 0 based on the evidence provided in the market and a cursory web search. Creator was pinged 6 days ago with no action, guidelines indicate mods should resolve in this case.
Important update about it: https://www.metropoles.com/brasil/pf-vai-identificar-quem-usou-x-apos-bloqueio-para-embasar-multas
I've been thinking that political opponents or people with accounts with a lot of followers who remain on X could end up being fined
https://x.com/marcelvanhattem/status/1829729347873227190
Some congresspeople already publicly boasting of using X through a VPN
@FranklinBaldo Alexandre already step back from that order. And even if it was the case, there is no one to enforce.
@FranklinBaldo the item that was suspended was item 2. The fines are established in item 3, so at least theoretically they still apply. https://noticias.stf.jus.br/postsnoticias/stf-determina-suspensao-do-x-antigo-twitter-em-todo-o-territorio-nacional-2/