Which frontier lab will have the highest official score on the ARC-AGI-3 benchmark by the end of April 2026
1
Ṁ1kṀ90May 1
17%
Anthropic
19%
Google
19%
OpenAI
13%
xAI
19%
No official scores released by end of April 2026
13%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
43% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
35% chance
By when will AI score >= 80% on FrontierMath
Will any AI model score above 90% on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark before April 2026?
27% chance
[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?
93.8
Best score on CritPt benchmark (~FrontierMath for physics) by end of 2026
66.2
What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?
What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2027?
Highest Epoch-acknowledged FrontierMath score at EOY2026?
70.2
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
67% chance