See https://terraformindustries.com/ and https://twitter.com/TerraformIndies

Terraform Industries is a carbon-capture company that claims to be "a bet on cheap solar, synthetic hydrocarbon supremacy, and hyperscale". Basically, they think solar power will be cheap enough to efficiently turn atmospheric CO2 into methane.

Previous market: https://manifold.markets/citrinitas/will-terraform-industries-sell-some#

Terraform already has a sales contract to sell an unspecified amount of methane, so that market resolved YES. This market is limited in scope to ONLY sales of the main Sabatier reactor product.

The specific criteria to resolve YES:

• Selling, or contracting to sell, any electricity-to-hydrocarbon reactor (such as their sabatier reactor), or any large part of such a reactor, to be used for the purpose of storing solar energy as hydrocarbons. "Large part" means either the complete sabatier reactor, or the complete carbon concentrator.

• Complicated leasing setups still count as a sale, as long as the transaction is "Party A gives Terraform money, and Terraform gives Party A a machine"

Resolves based on any information that's publicly available and/or shared with this market at close time. Note that by this design, they don't need to actually deliver by the end of 2024.

(Meeting these criteria in 2023 would also resolve YES, if they go that fast)

These criteria are fuzzy until 20 March, if anyone would like to suggest any improvements. After that I'll interpret them as written.