Will I get an offer from Anthropic?
9
510Ṁ172
resolved Jul 6
Resolved
YES

Follow along the story in https://manifold.markets/citrinitas/where-will-i-end-up-working

TLDR: I'm a MLOps / backend software dev, and I've been interviewing at Anthropic. I've just finished what I believe is their "final checks" step, detailed at https://www.anthropic.com/careers. I've OK'd the background check, and my references are getting calls, so I think the next communications I get will be either an offer or a rejection.

From my perspective things have gone well, but I'm getting anxious, so I want to outsource my probability estimates to the market.

  • YES if I get any offer for employment, even if I don't accept, even if the offer is something very different from what I'm expecting

  • NO if I get a rejection, or if I don't hear back by the end of 14 July

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predictedYES

😂

predictedYES

Congrats!!!

I think 80 is a good deal for this. 90 is the true value - but I won't take it higher as I like a good bargain 😂 . Related https://manifold.markets/Undox/will-i-get-an-offer-from-anthropic-b0a8b96f162c

Who does a background check if they don't plan to make an offer

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