
Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Carrie Poppy: [...] And specifically, he said that “America is going to get quite a big earthquake. It’ll go along the West Coast and as far as Mexico City.” He says, “I don’t see everything collapsing, but I feel there is a big one coming this year.” Yep.
Ross Blocher: Okay. That’s also specific. Alright!
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
If there is no earthquake bigger/closer to Mexico City than the California earthquake before the end of 2024, this will resolve as NO
The earthquake must reach as far as Mexico City to qualify for a YES resolution
The creator will try to avoid N/A resolutions
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
An earthquake with an epicenter near a west coast city that is felt in Mexico City will count as YES, even without damage in Mexico City
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