Will there be X or more Starship–SuperHeavy launches in 2024?
33
14k
2025
99%
3
95%
4
59%
5
36%
6
21%
7

Each answer X resolves YES if there are X or more Starship–SuperHeavy launches in 2024, otherwise it resolves NO.

"Launch" is defined as the vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under thrust from its engines.

The relevant timezone for "in 2024" is local time at the launch site of each respective launch.

More answers can be added to this question if it looks like more launches are plausible.

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How badly would the first one need to go to ruin the 2nd one? This basically means the local, state, or national government ban them from launching?

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