Will the FAA issue SpaceX a license before the end of 2024 that authorises multiple Starship–SuperHeavy launches?
11
260Ṁ818
resolved Sep 26
Resolved
YES

So far, all launch licenses issued by the FAA for Starship–SuperHeavy launches have authorised only a single flight. For each subsequent flight, SpaceX has had to seek an additional license, or for their previous license to be amended to authorise a further flight.

This market resolves YES if before the end of 2024, US eastern time, the FAA issues a launch license that authorises more than one Starship–SuperHeavy launch.

For the purposes of this market, each amendment to a previous license counts as a license issuance by the FAA.

Arbitrary conditions in the license that must be met in order for a second launch to be authorised are fine, as long it is possible that under some circumstances, even if very unlikely, SpaceX would be authorised to make a second launch without an additional license being issued.

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