Will the FAA delay approval for any SpaceX flight for more than 30 days in 2025?
Basic
4
Ṁ50
2026
63%
chance

See https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/12/science/faa-spacex-starship-test-flight-5/index.html for context.

Space X and the FAA have previously feuded over some regulatory interpretations and required documents, resulting in delays in granting approval for launches. Will resolve No if any approval is delayed for more than 30 days, or YES otherwise on Jan 2026.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules