MANIFOLD
Will the FAA delay approval for any SpaceX flight for more than 30 days in 2025?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ924
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

See https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/12/science/faa-spacex-starship-test-flight-5/index.html for context.

Space X and the FAA have previously feuded over some regulatory interpretations and required documents, resulting in delays in granting approval for launches. Will resolve No if any approval is delayed for more than 30 days, or YES otherwise on Jan 2026.

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Resolving NO:

https://gemini.google.com/share/0aa27016072b

How would you possibly judge this? We don't know if a ship isn't flying because of FAA delays or not

@Mqrius Elon will complain. Or someone will talk to the media.

Shrug too vague for me, not betting on the market

@TonyGao I'll second @Mqrius's concern, Elon complains about a lot of things and it's not always easy to determine the validity of those complaints

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