Will the FAA delay approval for any SpaceX flight for more than 30 days in 2025?
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4
Ṁ502026
63%
chance
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See https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/12/science/faa-spacex-starship-test-flight-5/index.html for context.
Space X and the FAA have previously feuded over some regulatory interpretations and required documents, resulting in delays in granting approval for launches. Will resolve No if any approval is delayed for more than 30 days, or YES otherwise on Jan 2026.
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