Will the FAA grant SpaceX their launch license for a Starship test flight next week, by end of today, April 14, 2023?

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resolved Apr 14

Resolved

YES

ALL

Resolves YES if by the end of Apr 14, Texas time, the FAA website shows a launch license authorising a Starship flight to take place on any date(s) from Apr 17 to Apr 21 inclusive.

https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data/licenses/

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predicted YES

It's on the website now:

https://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/ast/licenses_permits/media/VOL%2023-129%20SpaceX%20Starship-Super%20Heavy%20License%20and%20Orders1.pdf

@chrisjbillington it contains a "special reporting requirement" that isnt clear, may be in for surprises

predicted YES

@EuShaha could you elaborate?

@chrisjbillington it mentions they need to file a environmental report for debris 7 days before launch, unclear if this already happened or if they care, most likely will be ignored anyway if issue

bought Ṁ128 of YES

Reports from multiple sources including journalists, that's good enough. Technically not the resolution criteria which referred to the FAA website, sorry about that - will write better resolution criteria next time (e.g. "or credible media reports").

bought Ṁ400 of YES

If it turns out it was all a lie then I'm with altering the outcome of the market :)

bought Ṁ469 of YES

predicted YES

Resolves Yes!

bought Ṁ40 of YES

@Mqrius Just want to get an official source - there are quotes here from the FAA but I don't see anything on their website. I'm not going to be a stickler about it having to be on the website, as long as we can get official confirmation.