Will Manifold pivot before the Fed?
Basic
30
Ṁ6881resolved Apr 22
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Manifold apparently has a "pivot" in the works.
Will Manifold's change of direction be publicly announced before the US Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee announces that they are decreasing the target range for the federal funds rate?
From Austin (/Austin/will-i-regret-leaving-manifold ):
James, Stephen, and the rest of the team have a big pivot in store; it seems like a great bet, but not something that I personally feel drawn towards enacting. And so, now feels like a good time to step out.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Irigi see the description in the linked market, that's all we know officially:
/Austin/will-i-regret-leaving-manifold
Though folks are speculating here:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold help me pivot my career by the end of 2024?
50% chance
Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?
25% chance
Will there be a bank run on Manifold before 2028?
36% chance
6 months after the Great Manifold Pivot, will Manifold leadership consider it to have been a good idea?
89% chance
Will there be a bank run on manifold?
Will Manifold price a 2024 US recession at >50% at the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Manifold enact any of the ideas from "The Bazaar of Knowledge" concept for what the pivot could be, by end 2024?
16% chance
Will Manifold promptly wire all the panic donations due to The Pivot?
97% chance
Will Manifold be more accurate a month after the pivot
13% chance