Will Manifold have more engaged users on Sep 15th than Sep 14th?

Manifold Manifold Users Manifold User Retention

Mini

6

Ṁ2.8k

resolved Sep 16

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://manifold.markets/stats

An engaged user is a user who has traded in, commented on, or created a question on at least 2 out of 7 days in each of the past 3 weeks.

Market resolution will not respect manipulation attempts that violate Manifold's

community guidelines - this means use of bugs, an army of alts, botting, etc. Regular

collusion and other kinds of manipulation that don't violate the community guidelines are

fine.

In the event that community-guidelines-violating manipulation occurs, I will attempt to

correct for it and be transparent about how I have done so.

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Will Manifold have more engaged users on Sep 16th than Sep 15th?

61% chance. https://manifold.markets/stats An engaged user is a user who has traded in, commented on, or created a question on at least 2 out of 7 days in each of the past 3 weeks. Market resolution will not respect manipulation attempts that violate Manifold's community guidelines - this means use of bugs, an army of alts, botting, etc. Regular collusion and other kinds of manipulation that don't violate the community guidelines are fine. In the event that community-guidelines-violating manipulation occurs, I will attempt to correct for it and be transparent about how I have done so.

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