Manifold had some issues paying out loans on two days in a row recently, resulting in two extra loan payments for most users. These payments are essentially free mana, not actually a loan that needs to be paid back, and they count toward all-time profits and distort leaderboards. I'm up about Ṁ23k because of this.

Will we have to pay them back, within the next month? On Discord there's some discussion about this - the admins would certainly like to reverse the extra payments, but there are some stumbling blocks in figuring out exactly how much to subtract from everyone's balances.

I'll resolve this based on whether I have the extra mana that was paid to me taken from my balance before the end of November in my timezone (AEST).

This is because, in case Manifold only has some users repay their extra loans, I imagine I'll be among the people who do have to pay it back since in my case there's no ambiguity about how much I'd have to pay. So I'm making resolution depend on me.

Addendum: in the case that I have to pay back a fractional amount of the free mana, I'll resolve to min(100, repayment_amount/Ṁ22.5k), where Ṁ22.5 k is roughly Ṁ1k less than the actual amount of free mana I received. This is designed to make the market resolve YES if it's close, and fractionally if it's not close.