2025 Australian election: Labor outperforms 2022 result?
11
1kṀ565
May 15
54%
chance
5

It's rare for an Australian government not to lose vote share after their first term.

Will the 2025 election be an exception?

Resolves YES if The Australian Labor party gets a national two-party-preferred vote share larger than 52.132745% (their 2022 result) in the 2025 Australian federal election.

Data source is final numbers from the Australian Electoral Commission.

(image source: Antony Green, ABC)

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