Will Vladimir Putin win Russia's 2024 presidential election with 70% or more of the vote?
Will Vladimir Putin win Russia's 2024 presidential election with 70% or more of the vote?
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790Ṁ20kresolved Mar 18
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Russia is set to hold a presidential election on 17 March 2024. According to Wikipedia, Vladimir Putin's share of the vote in previous elections were as follows:
2018: 77.53%
2012: 64.35%
2008: N/A (Putin was Vice President; his ally, Dmitry Medvedev ran for President; Medvedev received 71.25% of the vote)
2004: 71.91%
2000: 53.44%
Will Putin's share of the vote in the 2024 election be 70% or more, as recorded on Wikipedia's election page?
In the unlikely event of a second round of voting, the second round's percentage will be used.'
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What is Manifold?
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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