Will there be a US government shutdown in 2026?
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Ṁ1kṀ56kresolved Feb 4
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The United States has a history of government shutdowns.
For the purposes of this question, a "government shutdown" must involve furloughing of workers. For example, the brief shutdown on 9 Feb 2018 lasted only a few hours and did not furlough government workers, and so would not count.
This question resolves YES if a government shutdown involving furloughed workers happens on or between 1 Jan 2026 and 31 Dec 2026, and otherwise resolves NO when the year ends (midnight EST).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@cash looks like it should resolve yes. here's a sample of reporting on furloughs:
Rapidly becoming official https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/M-26-06-Status-of-Agency-Operations.pdf