Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2025?
29
Ṁ100Ṁ2.7kresolved Apr 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if South Africa's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2026) compared to the last report (which can be found here).
If South Africa's democracy score for 2025 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ68 | |
| 2 | Ṁ57 | |
| 3 | Ṁ57 | |
| 4 | Ṁ51 | |
| 5 | Ṁ39 |
Sort by:
@Daniel_MC that would have been accounted for over the course the bill's legislative journey, and the score went UP for 2024 when it was signed. So I'm not seeing how / why it would deteriorate in 2025 for that specific reason.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will India become more authoritarian in 2026?
44% chance
Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?
45% chance
Will the world become more authoritarian in 2026?
60% chance
Will China become more authoritarian in 2026?
43% chance
Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
50% chance
Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026?
31% chance
Will South Korea become more authoritarian in 2026?
25% chance
Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2026?
38% chance
Will Pakistan become more authoritarian in 2026?
31% chance
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
68% chance
