Will Americans' overall confidence in US institutions decline in 2027, according to Gallup?

Question

Gallup polls Americans on their confidence in American institutions, publishing results every summer (see 2026, 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).

[image]Will Gallup polling show a decline (i.e. 26% or less) in Americans' average confidence in US institutions in 2027?

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 56% chance (5 traders, as of Jul 27, 2026).

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