Will Americans' confidence in the presidency decline in 2027, according to Gallup?

Question

Gallup polls Americans on their confidence in American institutions, publishing results every summer (see 2026, 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).

[image]Will Gallup polling show a decline (i.e. 26% or less) in Americans' confidence in the presidency in 2027?

See also:

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@/cash/will-americans-confidence-in-the-pr-Ut5zZzqC0I (this question)

@/cash/will-americans-confidence-in-the-su-zntO6htdg2

@/cash/will-americans-confidence-in-newspa-R5yspq5Slz

@/cash/will-americans-confidence-in-large-UZgRsI8pEL

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 45% chance (5 traders, as of Jul 27, 2026).

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