Will Americans' confidence in newspapers decline in 2024, according to Gallup?
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Gallup polls Americans on their confidence in American institutions, publishing results every summer (see 2023, 2022, 2021).

The number of Americans who report a "great deal" or "quite a lot" of confidence in newspapers has declined from an all-time high of 51% in 1979 to 18% in 2023, the second lowest score after 2022's rating of 16%.

Will Gallup polling show a decline (i.e. 17% or less) in Americans' confidence in newspapers in 2024?

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How are you weighting this? The way I read it, there was 0% net gain in confidence, and 3% net loss in confidence, which of course leads to a decline of 3%.

Assuming a simple and reasonable weighting of Great Deal = 2, Quite a lot = 1, Some = 0, Very Little = -1:

2023 has a score of 24 - 42 = -18. 2024 has a score of 25 - 45 = -20.

Therefore confidence in newspapers declined in 2024

Gallup has a simple/consistent methodology, as cited in the description:

> "The number of Americans who report a "great deal" or "quite a lot" of confidence in newspapers has declined from an all-time high of 51% in 1979 to 18% in 2023, the second lowest score after 2022's rating of 16%."

Confidence is the sum of the % who report a "great deal" or "quite a lot". In 2023, that was 6+12 = 18%. In 2024, 7+11=18%. Thus, there was no decline (17% or less).

But @cash didn't choose a weightingโthis is how Gallup defines their headline number (hence 18% being used as the bar). That's how you got "18%" for 2023 (and 18% for 2024).

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