Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
764
24kṀ540kNov 6
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
76%
Zohran Mamdani
13%
Eric Adams
8%
Andrew Cuomo
New York City will hold mayoral elections on 4 November 2025. Eric Adams won the 2021 mayoral election, and is eligible to run again in 2025, but appears likely to face a contested primary.
This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins NYC's mayoral election in 2025, and NO to everyone else.
Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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