Any upcoming frontier model from OpenAI counts (i.e. any OpenAI model that is better than GPT 5.5 that is not GPT 5.5 Pro)
If there is no such model by a certain bracket, then that bracket resolve NO.
Export controls resulting in e.g. only KYC'd U.S. Citizens (e.g. through Trusted Access for Cyber) being allowed to use it counts as being taken down.
Weak KYC like being restricted to U.S. IPs counts as being taken down.
Taken down from one or both of API and subscription counts as being taken down.
OpenAI voluntarily not releasing or KYCing due to misuse / cyber risks does not count.
OpenAI "voluntarily" not releasing or KYCing due to a government telling them to does count iff OpenAI says that this is the case or there is credible reporting saying that it is the case (Anonymous source does not count, named source who is expected to have knowledge of the matter does count).
Will GPT 5.6 (or similar OAI model) be taken down or export controlled due to government pressure or legal action by...?
1
Ṁ1kṀ7502028
October 22, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
17%
Before July 1
22%
Before July 18
25%
Before August 1
31%
Before October 1
34%
Before January 1, 2027
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!