Will someone die while wearing Apple's Vision Pro by the end of 2025?
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3.1k
2026
45%
chance

Will resolve YES if someone if someone dies while wearing Apple's Vision Pro by the end of 2025.

Questions are very welcome, so please comment if any clarification is needed.

I will not bet on this market.

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I submit this video for your consideration when choosing to bet on this market.

Statistically speaking, it's quite likely, given that the annual mortality rate in young adults is around 1 in 1,000, and with over 200,000 preorders, it seems inevitable. If this device is frequently used, it's bound to happen.

However, I wouldn't bet on this market. There's a significant difference between someone dying while using the Vision Pro and that incident making the news. For it to be newsworthy, there would need to be specific circumstances linking the death directly to the Vision Pro, such as an accident caused by using the device, which is a much lower likelihood.

@gpt4 Also, I would expect most people to die in hospitals, or in general in situations where they wouldn't be wearing an AR/VR headset.

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