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Resolves YES if the next test firing of SpaceX's Starship booster B7 is a flight test, NO if it is a static fire test. Other types of test firing do not resolve the question.
This market is not about independent engine tests, but about full-vehicle, full upper-stage, or full-booster tests. Either booster or the ship itself can potentially fly through the atmosphere independently; the fire test must be on a full-scale assembly configured for flight, modulo what standard changes might be made for a static fire test. A failed test is still a test. In the case of test failure the intent of the test will be used to resolve the market.
If the B7 booster is scrapped before testing, this market resolves N/A.
If another starship booster is involved in successful orbital flight, then I'm going to probably going to lose interest in following B7, and resolve this market N/A.
If the B7 booster is has not been tested at close, the close date will be extended by one year until either B7 has been tested, B7 is scrap, or a Starship booster has been involved in a successful orbital flight.
Feb 16, 10:34am: Will Starship booster S24's next potentially flightworthy firing test be an actual flight test? → Will Starship booster B7's next potentially flightworthy firing test be an actual flight test?
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https://spacenews.com/spacex-proceeding-with-starship-orbital-launch-attempt-after-static-fire/
Henry, though, suggested that SpaceX was not planning another such test before an orbital launch attempt.