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MANIFOLD
Will Manifold’s and Polymarket’s “Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by April 19th” markets resolve identically?
22
Ṁ100Ṁ3.1k
resolved Apr 24
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES iff both Bayesian’s market and this Polymarket resolve identically (either both yes or both no).

Market context
World
Wars
Ukraine-Russia war
Ukraine
Manifold
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What's up with Polymarket's resolution? The timer on final review ticked down to zero, but it's been unresolved for over 12 hours. Still trading at 99.9 cents.

@HillaryClinton 11 more hours for uma to finish, then it resolves

@Joshua Thanks! I found it now going to the UMA website. I guess the countdown was for voting, and now the additional 24 hours is for revealing the votes? Not obvious IMO.

Bayesian’s market has resolved no, waiting for UMA dispute resolution now

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