Will labor’s share of income decline in 2025? | Manifold

Will labor’s share of income decline in 2025?

13

1kṀ719

Dec 30

58%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if and only if labor’s share of income in the United States’ non-farm business sector as measured by FRED here declines between Q1 2025 and Q4 2025.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

US unemployment above 5% in 2025?

Will Unemployment in the US Reach 5.5% in 2025?

Will the US be at full employment in December 2025?

Will I accept an offer to work as a W2 employee in 2025?

Will I accept an offer to work as a W2 employee in 2025?

Will there be >15% unemployment at any time prior to January 1st 2026?

Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?

Will the a substantial portion (>25%) of civilians still participate in the US labor market in Jan. 2030?

Bottom 50% of US income distribution's real incomes will grow over 2% annually on average from beginning of 2022 to end of 2025.

Related questions

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

US unemployment above 5% in 2025?

Will Unemployment in the US Reach 5.5% in 2025?

Will the US be at full employment in December 2025?

Will I accept an offer to work as a W2 employee in 2025?

Will I accept an offer to work as a W2 employee in 2025?

Will there be >15% unemployment at any time prior to January 1st 2026?

Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?

Will the a substantial portion (>25%) of civilians still participate in the US labor market in Jan. 2030?

Bottom 50% of US income distribution's real incomes will grow over 2% annually on average from beginning of 2022 to end of 2025.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy