What will the US nonfarm business sector labor share of income be in 2026?
0
Ṁ1002027
58
expected
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Resolves to the annual labor share of income in the nonfarm business sector, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (Productivity and Costs release).
Resolution source: BLS Productivity and Costs, FRED series MPU4910141. BLS publishes annual data ~3 months after the reference year.
Baseline: In 2024, the labor share was 58.3% (BLS). The long-run average (1947-2024) is ~62%. It has trended downward since ~2000.
Resolution date: ~March 2027 (expected BLS publication).
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