Resolves YES iff the proportion number of days that Trump golfs, from January 20, 2025 to December 31st, 2025 inclusive, is strictly greater than 25% (87 days or more) according to:
Will wait to resolve until it is clear that the site has been updated for every day in 2025. If the site is abandoned or taken down, will resolve NA. H/t @Ziddletwix for the market idea.
Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing: Will wait until the first 2026 entry appears on didtrumpgolftoday.com before resolving.
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@StefanDobrincu Techincally the bet should have been solved when the first date in 2026 appeared and at that point it read 86, so this should be solved as "No" as per the resolution criteria.
At most they should solve as N/A
"Conditional on the site updating soon, how many of the alleged December golf course visits will get counted as golfing?"
This is basically how I'm interpreting this market right now.
I think this text on the website is new:
Until further notice, golf days will not be updated unless a confirmed sighting of Trump on the golf course occurs. The Trump administration is actively narrrative crafting information to hide Trump's declining health including his published schedule to discourage media questions.
Two resolution options:
If https://didtrumpgolftoday.com/ shows the update - YES.
If https://didtrumpgolftoday.com/ the site doesn’t update, market will resolve NA as the criteria say.
Creator will give it at least a month before determining if it’s abandoned (it has taken weeks to update before).
(credit to @spiderduckpig)
20: https://www.timesargus.com/news/national/trump/image_8d37ff1b-f9ef-5029-8a81-0376f551db6a.html
21: https://www.rutlandherald.com/ap/national/trump/image_61f73e4a-36ab-5877-9d47-cccb79dea34b.html
22: https://www.rutlandherald.com/ap/national/trump/image_5ffb9188-e363-5bc1-a52f-7ecbe37121fb.html
23: https://www.rutlandherald.com/ap/national/trump/image_c92096a1-1a8c-50ac-8979-11e16abce895.html
24: https://www.rutlandherald.com/ap/national/trump/image_dd37e116-b906-5814-bd01-8936fce2ea01.html
26: https://www.timesargus.com/news/national/trump/image_ff62a519-3093-5396-89d1-e8cf7df2e6e3.html
27: https://www.timesargus.com/news/national/trump/image_8b20ee4d-b2a2-54f7-89c9-35c9d514b34d.html
pictures with dates: (dressed for golf)



@dynamics Also even after fixing the links (just a formatting issue with the line breaks) the pic for the 24th doesn't contradict the tweet saying no one in the press corps actually saw Trump in the motorcade that day.
