Trump golfs on 25% of days in 2026?

Question

Resolves YES iff the proportion number of days that Trump golfs, from January 1st, 2026 to December 31st, 2026 inclusive, is strictly greater than 25% (92 days or more) according to:

didtrumpgolftoday.com

Will wait to resolve until the first entry for 2027 appears on the site. If the site is abandoned or taken down, will resolve NA.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 39% chance (42 traders, as of Feb 20, 2026).