Liquidity added!

@PeterPan You know something we all don't?

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62g8d47z86o

Does this count

@spiderduckpig I think it definitely should

@spiderduckpig A plan is not really an attempt, is it?

@4fa I think he definitely "tried to" assassinate Donald Trump especially given how committed he was, killing his parents as part of the plan

@bluballoon Allegedly, though, right? And even if we had more than allegations, I don't think a mere plan counts as attempted murder.

@botbotbotjaja123 Just to confirm, Market Creator, did the event linked above count or no?

@mods Market Creator is unresponsive. Can we get a moderator to weigh in on the above topic, just to ensure we're all in alignment?

[redacted]

@shankypanky The attempt in the article I linked happened in February 2025. The FBI described it as an "assassination plot" and he killed his parents in preparation for it

@spiderduckpig oof, idk what I mixed up there and took it for the other incident - too many tabs open, sorry!! I would take meaningful action to attempt an assassination as my baseline. seems like he plotted and took action toward his attempt, but never made an attempt on Trump's life directly. I'd liken this to buying ingredients at the grocery store to make a soup doesn't count as attempting to make the soup itself...

any arguments against this?

@shankypanky I agree with your conclusion.

notably, afaict the accusations are related to an Assassination Plot/Conspiracy to Assassinate, with no mention anywhere of an Assassination Attempt

Specifically:

https://manifold.markets/JeffBerman/will-pa-governor-josh-shapiro-be-ar

@mods Can you fix the resolution here, particular since the market creator admitted that it was a scam?

@RyanMoulton I can see one possible reading, that this is talking about July 2025.

I'll reopen it until the end of July 2025?

If there is something else weird going on, ping the mods again.

Was this just a scam?

it was an error!