This market is about Anthropic's stock price on its first public trading day after an IPO.

Resolving rules

This market will resolve YES if Anthropic has an IPO before this market closes (2030-01-01) and the regular-market closing price on its first public trading day is strictly greater than the regular-market opening price on that same day.

This market will resolve NO if Anthropic has an IPO before this market closes (2030-01-01) and the regular-market closing price on its first public trading day is less than or equal to the regular-market opening price on that same day.

So:

• If close > open, this resolves YES.

• If close == open, this resolves NO.

• If close < open, this resolves NO.
  
  

The opening price and closing price mean the regular-market open and regular-market close shown by Yahoo Finance or another major financial data source, not pre-market or after-hours prices.

Source for the prices

I will use Yahoo Finance as the primary source for the opening and closing prices. If Yahoo Finance does not clearly show the relevant data, I may use another major financial data source.

After the first trading day ends, I will wait until the opening and closing prices are clearly available and then resolve this market.

Edge cases

• If Anthropic does not have an IPO before this market closes on 2030-01-01, this market will resolve N/A.

Author betting policy

The author of this market can place bets on it.