The market resolves YES if the federal government of the United States invokes the Defense Production Act at any point during 2026. This includes any formal invocation via executive order or presidential determination that delegates DPA authorities to federal agencies or designates materials/goods as national security priorities under the act.

Resolution will be verified through official White House statements, executive orders published in the Federal Register, or announcements from relevant federal agencies (such as the Department of Defense, Department of Energy, or Department of Commerce) confirming a DPA invocation.

The market resolves NO if no such invocation occurs by December 31, 2026.

If there is doubt as to whether a federal action constitutes an invocation of the Defense Production Act, then a consensus of credible sources will be used. It doesn't matter if the use is later challenged in court and overturned. A threat to invoke the DPA will not count.

I will not bet on this market.