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Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026?
7
Ṁ1kṀ791
Dec 31
25%
chance

Resolves YES if S-7263 passes within 2026.

Resolves YES if that bill is substantively included in another bill or package that passes this year as well, or if it’s resubmitted under a different number.

Generally, I will attempt to resolve in the spirit of this question, not the explicit letter of these criteria.

S-7263 is a bill seeking to regulate AIs giving medical/legal/professional advice, allowing people to sue chatbot owners who violate this ban.

If S-7263 is substantially amended to the point that it is in my estimation no longer substantively similar to its current form (let’s say, 80% less potent or different from its current form) then this will resolve NO.

In gray areas, I may resolve to PROB, judging from a consensus of credible reporting and feedback from other Manifold moderators.

Background:

https://reason.com/2026/03/04/this-bill-in-new-york-state-would-protect-lawyers-from-ai-competition/

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