Will the average price of a home humanoid robot drop below $3,000 by the end of 2028?
4
100Ṁ100
2028
20%
chance

For this market to resolve "YES," the average retail price of a commercially available humanoid robot capable of performing basic household tidying tasks (such as picking up clutter, placing items in their designated locations, and basic organizing) must drop below $3,000 USD by December 31, 2028.

Qualifying humanoid robots must:

  • Be bipedal or otherwise clearly humanoid in shape and mobility.

  • Be commercially available to regular consumers (not restricted to specialized industrial or research use).

  • Reliably demonstrate the capability to tidy a typical home environment, including grasping various household objects, navigating a standard residential space, and placing items appropriately without constant human intervention.

Pricing determination will be based on publicly available average retail prices in the U.S. market at the close of 2028.

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