Chess World Cup 2025 Winner?
54
2.1kṀ29k
Nov 28
15%
Javokhir Sindarov
15%
Arjun Erigaisi
14%
Wei Yi
12%
Other
12%
Daniil Dubov
11%
Levon Aronian
9%
Lê Quang Liêm
4%
Pentala Harikrishna
4%
Nodirbek Yakubboev
4%
Andrey Esipenko

Resolves to the winner of the FIDE 2025 Chess World Cup. In the (extremely unlikely / unprecedented / probably illegal) event of a tie, resolves equally to the winners.

I will add other options split off from Other as the rounds progress.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_World_Cup_2025

I will be betting on this market, so if some insane gray area arises in the resolution, I will defer to the resolution of other Manifold mods. If the event is called off, I will N/A. If the event is delayed, I will keep the market open.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Okay, added all the top seeds in each of the remaining matches (and we have Aronian)

@bens Probably time to add some answers. I'd say at least the remaining 2700s

@archvenison ya I didn't anticipate like 80% of the top seeds being eliminated in the first 3 rounds lol

@bens Yeah this has been a crazy tourney, even by World Cup standards

Brutal day for the elite

@bens when do you plan to start adding the other plausible winners?

sold Ṁ51 YES

@diadematus just added a few

Related question: https://manifold.markets/Ram_N/fide-chess-world-cup-2025-goa-prop (Prop

Bets)

FIDE Chess World Cup 2025 Goa - Prop Bets
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_World_Cup_2025

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