Chess World Cup 2025 Winner?
89
2.2kṀ65k
resolved Nov 27
100%99.7%
Javokhir Sindarov
0.0%
Gukesh Dommaraju
0.0%
R Praggnanandhaa
0.0%
Arjun Erigaisi
0.0%
Wesley So
0.0%
Wei Yi
0.0%
Vincent Keymer
0.0%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
0.0%
Anish Giri
0.0%
Levon Aronian
0.0%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
0.0%
Hans Niemann
0.0%
Pranav V
0.0%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
0.0%
Matthias Blubaum
0.0%
Pentala Harikrishna
0.0%
Nodirbek Yakubboev
0.0%
Lê Quang Liêm
0.0%
Daniil Dubov
0.0%
Andrey Esipenko

Resolves to the winner of the FIDE 2025 Chess World Cup. In the (extremely unlikely / unprecedented / probably illegal) event of a tie, resolves equally to the winners.

I will add other options split off from Other as the rounds progress.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_World_Cup_2025

I will be betting on this market, so if some insane gray area arises in the resolution, I will defer to the resolution of other Manifold mods. If the event is called off, I will N/A. If the event is delayed, I will keep the market open.

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@bens resolves Javokhir Sindarov

@mods

I never bought any shares on this market... idk why it says I'm holding so many positions lol. looks like an error or smth, does anyone know why this happened?

@epic er actually I bought other for no like 13 days ago, but that was only 127 shares for 100 dollars... somehow it made it so that I had 127 shares of a bunch of other items too

@epic ah yes Other is a tricky one. Other NO shares do convert to free YES shares in everything else when something new gets added. It's intentional and the mathematically correct result, even if it seems weird. Think of it like this: when you say NO to Other, you're saying the correct answer is already listed, and any new answers won't be correct. The system handles that for you.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Okay, added all the top seeds in each of the remaining matches (and we have Aronian)

@bens Probably time to add some answers. I'd say at least the remaining 2700s

@archvenison ya I didn't anticipate like 80% of the top seeds being eliminated in the first 3 rounds lol

@bens Yeah this has been a crazy tourney, even by World Cup standards

Brutal day for the elite

@bens when do you plan to start adding the other plausible winners?

sold Ṁ51 YES

@diadematus just added a few

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