Will Caroline Ellison live till the end of the year?
Basic
17
Ṁ1507resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's come to light that bad things went on with Alameda/FTX and they allegedly stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds she survives till the end of the year?
Will resolve negatively if there's a verified report that she is dead, positively otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
This is my first market, so pardon me if I've done it wrong somehow. I basically just copied this similar market: https://manifold.markets/sophiawisdom/will-sbf-live-till-the-end-of-the-y
@BenjaminIkuta You went all in for your first market. Having people bet on somebody’s untimely death!
Related questions
Related questions
Conditional on SBF or Caroline Ellison being dead by 2025, will the cause of death be ruled a suicide?
68% chance
Will @cauli still be living in Australia at the end of 2024?
68% chance
Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
26% chance
Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?
6% chance
Will Angela Merkel be alive through the end of 2030?
69% chance
Will Angela Merkel be alive through the end of 2035?
61% chance
Will Angela Merkel be alive through the end of 2040?
59% chance
Will Julie Andrews survive 2024?
95% chance
Will @Celene be alive in 2035?
90% chance
Will Angela Merkel be alive through the end of 2025?
95% chance