If Nikki Haley wins the Republican nomination, is it because Trump died or was otherwise disqualified? | Manifold

If Nikki Haley wins the Republican nomination, is it because Trump died or was otherwise disqualified?

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resolved Jul 17

Resolved as

92%

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If Nikki Haley wins the Republican nomination, is it because Trump died or was otherwise disqualified?

Otherwise resolves PROB.

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#Republican Party

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Trump indictment(s)

#2024 Republican Primaries

#‍️ Nikki Haley

#Trump disqualified from running

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Wait, hold on, how did we resolve this to 92%? I'm genuinely confused.

"Otherwise resolves PROB." (Instead of N/A)

Could do something similar for Biden.

If the Democratic nominee is not Joe Biden is it because

health reasons
political reasons

@ChinmayTheMathGuy Great idea, thanks!

@ChinmayTheMathGuy https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/if-joe-biden-isnt-the-presidential?r=QmVuamFtaW5Ja3V0YQ

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