Resolves YES if the United States Health and Human Services publishes guidance, warnings, or restrictions against using antidepressants for terms longer than 1 year during RFK Jr.'s term as head of HHS.
Related market on whether they are safe:
https://manifold.markets/barbarous/antidepressants-are-safe-to-use-up
Update 2025-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Inclusive Guidance: Guidance that applies only to longer durations (e.g. restrictions for 5+ years) qualifies as a YES resolution, even if it does not specifically mention restrictions for exactly 1 year.
Resolution Consistency: The market resolves YES if any published guidance, warnings, or restrictions apply to any term longer than 1 year.
Update 2025-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Official HHS Guidance Requirement:
Only guidance, warnings, or restrictions that come from an official, published statement by the US HHS will qualify.
Any personal opinion—even from HHS leadership such as RFK Jr.—will not satisfy the resolution criteria.
1,000@WilliamGunn This resolves YES inclusive, so if they say yes for 5+ years but not for 1 it still resolves YES