![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fbarak%252F76d69a263c6e.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
How it works: if you want to help, send @Manifold at least M$1000. If we get to at least M$400,000 ($4000 USD to cover tax and dongles etc), you will get priority usage of the Apple Vision Pro in the Manifold office.
The headset should never leave Manifold HQ (except by M$1000/day loan) and will be used to Manifest Our Future.
Context: It's $3499 and preorders open on 1/19.
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🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ49 | |
2 | Ṁ19 | |
3 | Ṁ15 | |
4 | Ṁ11 | |
5 | Ṁ9 |
Meta-commentary, I think Dominant Assurance Contracts may fit well here. I see many markets that follow this template: "Will X occur", essentially advertising X and incentivizing people to participate in X. But, Dominant assurance contracts are a bit cleaner. It's off of manifold's focus, but I wonder if there's another way to implement it with already existing market types?
TL;DR the contract creator sets a funding threshold and sets aside some quantity of "refund money". If the donations surpass the threshold, the contract creator gets the funding and keeps the refund. If the donations do not surpass the threshold, the donators split the refund money.
Good reading:
- Concise, Chat-GPT explanation https://chat.openai.com/share/7914aace-9b75-4d4d-9295-dda8d71450cd
- Long and very high quality explanation https://mason.gmu.edu/~atabarro/PrivateProvision.pdf
@barak i got a market for that 😊
“Store visit mandatory to get a unit (no opt-out from fitting etc)”