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MANIFOLD
US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market
20
Ṁ6kṀ94k
resolved Nov 5
100%99.0%
Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins
0.2%
Connie Chan advances; Connie Chan wins
0.5%
Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Scott Wiener wins
0.2%
Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Saikat Chakrabarti wins

All options assume Scott Wiener advances to the general election -- market resolves N/A if not.

For example, if the primary result ends up as Connie Chan + Scott Wiener, then we know the Saikat options will resolve No, and after the final result one of the remaining options will resolve Yes.

Market closes based on official results https://www.sf.gov/departments--department-elections.

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