Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve based on when the user's net worth on Manifold Markets first reaches or exceeds M$20,000. The options will resolve as follows:

• Before May 10: Resolves YES if the net worth reaches M$20,000 before 12:00 AM UTC on May 10, 2025.

• Between May 10 and May 25: Resolves YES if the net worth reaches M$20,000 between 12:00 AM UTC on May 10, 2025, and 11:59 PM UTC on May 25, 2025.

• Between May 25 and June 5: Resolves YES if the net worth reaches M$20,000 between 12:00 AM UTC on May 26, 2025, and 11:59 PM UTC on June 5, 2025.

• After June 5: Resolves YES if the net worth reaches M$20,000 at any time after 12:00 AM UTC on June 6, 2025.

If the net worth does not reach M$20,000 by the end of 2025, all options will resolve NO.

Background:

Manifold Markets is an online prediction platform where users engage in forecasting using a virtual currency called "Mana" (M$). Users can earn Mana through successful predictions, market creation, and participation in various activities on the platform. Net worth on Manifold reflects the total amount of Mana a user has accumulated. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations:

• The user's current net worth and trading activity will significantly influence the likelihood of reaching M$20,000 within the specified timeframes.

• Market volatility and the user's engagement in high-stakes markets may accelerate or hinder the growth of their net worth.

• External factors, such as changes in Manifold's platform policies or the introduction of new features, could impact the accumulation of Mana.