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E.g. if the market is at 20/20/30/30 it will resolve to option C.
I will close and resolve this market at a randomly selected time during the month of August (Pacific Time), already known to me but no one else.
I will not be trading on this market.
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๐ Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | แน376,544 | |
2 | แน23,094 | |
3 | แน6,091 | |
4 | แน1,257 | |
5 | แน953 |
Game theory says A is easy mana.
Over 2x the investment needs to be placed in B in order for that to beat A, since A just needs over 30% to win.
Another challenge for B is the ROI for manifold markets rewarding lower probabilities. The higher B gets, the more attractive A becomes as it has a higher payout.
B-lievers are fighting an uphill battle I'm afraid.
That's true... except for the fact that @BlakeWoolley, who has a much larger balance than current A holders, has joined B. If no one else joins A, Blake will crush them.