Will the U.S. Pull Out of NATO by June 30? 🇺🇸
17
100Ṁ449
resolved Nov 2
100%43%
No, and the U.S. will reaffirm its commitment
1.0%
Yes, the U.S. will leave NATO
13%
No, but major policy changes will happen
43%Other

With growing tensions and debates over defense spending, speculation is rising about whether the U.S. could officially withdraw from NATO by June 30.

A move like this would reshape global alliances and security strategies but will it actually happen?

What do you think a seismic shift in global politics or just political noise

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@avineth @mods creator inactive. Resolves NO. UHHM. Read the market again and realized despite the title this isn't a binary market. I would argue the correct resolution is America reaffirming commitment. They have done as good as that quite a few times. An argument that the raising of the target expenditure to 5 percent is a major policy shift could be made, but I am not making that argument. I have only 3 mana locked, so very small stakes.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I'm fine with this. resolving.

bought Ṁ10 YES

He questioned (once again) his commitment to Article Five, NATO’s mutual-defence clause. It “depends on your definition”, he suggested, adding ominously that there were “numerous definitions” of the text: “I’m going to give you an exact definition when I get there.” (He didn’t.) But in the end Mr Trump did not rock the boat in the private meeting of leaders, instead taking plaudits for the higher defence spending. And he declared in his closing press conference that NATO is “not a rip-off”.

not a ripoff guys, that's as clear a commitment as any!

I am confused by the resolution criteria. If you had to resolve this market today, how would you resolve it?

bought Ṁ10 YES

What's Other supposed to represent?

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