1
Will OpenAI announce a plan to put more focus addressing inner alignment issues before 2024?
25
closes 2024
69%
chance

This could take the form of a blog post by OpenAI, Jan Leike announcing work tackling inner misalignment, etc..

OpenAI: https://openai.com/blog/planning-for-agi-and-beyond
Inner misalignment: https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/inner-alignment

("inner misalignment" doesn't have to explicitly be said - as long as whatever is said is very similar )

Sort by:
JacyAnthis avatar
Jacy Reese Anthissold Ṁ12 of NO

Hey @AnishUpadhayaya6ee, this says "before 2024" yet "Closes Dec 31, 2024". Could you clarify the date?

Related markets

Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)43%
Will OpenAI announce a dedicated grant program for external AI alignment research projects? (2024)58%
Will OpenAI release a technical report on a model designed for AI alignment research? (2024)52%
Will DeepMind publish their alignment plan before 2024?79%
Will OpenAI go public before 2024?6%
Will OpenAI release a search engine before 2024? [Read description]78%
Will OpenAI IPO by 2040?30%
Will OpenAI be acquired by 2040?33%
Will OpenAI IPO by 2025?13%
Will OpenAI report that it's no longer heavily GPU limited in 2024?41%
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?32%
Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?87%
Will OpenAI pause capabilities R&D voluntarily before 2027?18%
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?79%
Will OpenAI change their name before January 1st, 2025?10%
Will OpenAI make any acquisitions during the remainder of 2023?30%
Will OpenAI "merge and assist" by end of 2026?19%
Will another organization surpass OpenAI in the public sphere of awareness of AI progress by the end of 2024?29%
Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?36%
Will OpenAI release weights to a model designed to be easily interpretable (2024)?27%