
What percentage of neologisms in 2040 will be nonsense words?
What percentage of neologisms in 2040 will be nonsense words?
1
70Ṁ102041
41%
chance
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It's come to my attention that nonsense words like "skibidi" have entered the English lexicon, particularly among slightly-younger-than-me gen zedders, and that makes me feel old lmao
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I'm never going to feel out of touch for not knowing what Skibidi means, because I know that before it meant anything it was just part of the title of the Skibidi Toilet shorts.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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