Will a new landlocked country come into being before one disappears?
4
1kṀ505
2200
41%
chance

Border changes must be largely recognized at the UN to count. I decide in case of edge cases.

Currently as of 2025 there are 44 landlocked countries.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landlocked_country

By disappears I mean stops being landlocked or stops existing entirely. Either. Will the count go up before it goes down, I mean.

Market context
World
Geopolitics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

See if anyone can agree on where the borers are and what the countries are called in some of the north west side of Africa.

People are also trading

Will there be a new country before 2028?
77% chance
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
77% chance
Will any land currently held by the US breakaway before 2040.
16% chance
Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
68% chance
Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030?
77% chance
Will Sealand be officially and unambiguously recognized by another country before October 2029?
5% chance
Will any of the following Western countries attempt to annex another country before 2030?
15% chance
Which country will lose territory to a newly founded country by 2050? [add responses]
Which fully recognized United Nations member country will be the first one to stop existing?
Will there be one less -stan country at the end of 2029?
9% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy