
Which fully recognized United Nations member country will be the first one to stop existing?
85
1kαΉ45312029
12%
North Korea
12%
Tuvalu
11%
Kiribati
10%
8%
Ukraine
6%
Syria
5%
Haiti
5%
Israel
3%
Russia
3%
Libya
2%
Belarus
2%
Kuwait
2%
Nepal
1.9%
South Korea
1.9%
South Africa
1.7%
Kenya
1.7%
Serbia
1.4%
China
Market open until it happens
If two countries join at the same time in an evenhanded relationship, they will both resolve 50-50 if they both cease existing.
If a country gets annexed and loses control of all its territory, it will depend if it is still recognized by the UN and/or has a functioning government
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Member_states_of_the_United_Nations
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?
Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2100?
Which country will leave the πΊπ³ United Nations in 2025β2026?
Will any country threaten withdrawal from the UN by 2028?
54% chance
Which of these nations / defacto independent territories will survive 2025?
Will any UN country change its official name before the year 2030?
75% chance
Catastrophic decline of United Nations by 2035?
39% chance
By the start of 2026, will a country named Russia be a member of the UN?
96% chance
Will there be one less -stan country at the end of 2029?
8% chance
Will Sealand be officially and unambiguously recognized by another country before October 2029?
5% chance