Will a Language Model under 10B parameters play chess at Grandmaster level by 2050?
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2050
63%
chance

Strength can be assessed through either human play or through playing with machines. GM level means >2500, or whatever the rating cutoff is for the GM title at resolution

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What is the definition of a language model? I'd imagine that architectures and techniques will change a lot over 25 years.

@MaxMorehead if it can have a conversation, and doesn’t have a architecture for playing chess

@ashly_webb So a whole brain emulation is a language model?

@MaxMorehead Yeah. A literal human brain wouldn't count though

@ashly_webb >doesn’t have a architecture for playing chess

So, like AlphaZero (with a chatbot added)??

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