The CDU are currently leading in the German elections, but will still likely need to form a coalition, since 316 seats are needed for a majority (they are currently on 208 seats).
With which party will they form a coalition?
The market resolves once a coalition is definitively formed (and this is in the mainstream news).
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How is this a dependent market? @aristotle_135 if there are more than two parties in the coalition, one at least will resolve NO, and that is obviously not right
@JussiVilleHeiskanen that’s true, I’m quite new to Manifold so I’m not sure how to make it so that there are two potential options for ‘yes’…?
@aristotle_135 you have to choose "set" instead of "multiple choice' as the market type when creating. then you can resolve each option individually