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MANIFOLD
How many senators will vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson as a Supreme Court Justice?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ13
resolved Mar 12
Resolved
N/A
This market resolves to the number of senators who vote to confirm President Biden's appointment of Ketanji Brown Jackson to the US Supreme Court. If 50 senators vote to confirm, this market resolves 50%. If 100 senators vote to confirm, it resolves 100%. If 30 vote to confirm, it resolves 30%. I'm not a US politics expert so I hope this all makes sense. Close date may be moved depending on how things go.
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@hagi good point; I'll N/A it and remake
I think you should've started with higher ANTE, because only betting 1M$ increases the prob from 50 to 59, which isn't all to great for something that granular. I'd say 50 is too low and 59 too high, so it does not make sense to invest anything at all.